Figure 4From: Time variations in the transmissibility of pandemic influenza in Prussia, Germany, from 1918–19Comparison of the effective reproduction number assuming different serial intervals. Expected values of the effective reproduction number with a serial interval of 1 (grey), 3 (dashed black) and 5 days (solid black). The horizontal solid line represents the threshold value, R = 1, below which the epidemic will decline to extinction. Days are counted from September 9, 1918, onwards.Back to article page