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Figure 2 | Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling

Figure 2

From: Theoretical basis to measure the impact of short-lasting control of an infectious disease on the epidemic peak

Figure 2

Estimated weekly incidence of influenza cases in Japan from 2009-10. The estimates are based on nationwide sentinel surveillance, covering the period from week 31 in 2009 to week 13 in 2010. The estimate follows an extrapolation of the notified number of cases from a total of 4800 randomly sampled sentinel hospitals to the total number of medical facilities in Japan. The case refers to influenza-like illness cases with medical attendance, possibly involving other diseases, but with influenza A (H1N1-2009) dominant among the isolated influenza viruses during the period of interest. Period A corresponds to summer school holiday, followed by autumn semester (period B). Period C covers winter holiday and period D corresponds to winter semester.

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