From: The waiting time problem in a model hominin population
Mutation rate per string per generation | Average number of instances before fixation | Average corrected waiting time to 1st instance (yrs) | Average corrected waiting time to effective instance (yrs) | Average duration of amplification (yrs) | Total average corrected waiting time (yrs) | 95 % Confidence Interval for total waiting time (yrs) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.01 | 15.6 | 1.05 × 109 | 1.72 × 109 | 1.80 × 104 | 1.72 × 109 | 2.46 × 108 |
0.001 | 9.0 | 1.70 × 109 | 2.31 × 109 | 1.44 × 104 | 2.31 × 109 | 4.98 × 108 |
0.0001 | 8.7 | 4.43 × 109 | 6.10 × 109 | 1.60 × 104 | 6.10 × 109 | 2.39 × 109 |
0.00001 | 7.6 | 8.53 × 109 | 1.11 × 1010 | 1.67 × 104 | 1.11 × 1010 | 3.42 × 109 |
0.0000001 biological rate | 3.95 × 10 10 (extrapolated) |