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Fig. 3 | Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling

Fig. 3

From: Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing

Fig. 3

Relationship between increasing seasonal amplitude and reliability of top-performing EWS. Early warning signals remain reliable at the highest level of relative fluctuations (β 1/β 0). Each plot shows the top performing EWS when analysis is performed on raw data (left), yearly differenced data (middle), and residuals following seasonal detrending (right)

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