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Table 1 Transition rules for stochastic SIR model

From: Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing

Event

(Δ S,Δ I,Δ R)

Rate

Birth of a susceptible

(1,0,0)

μ N 0

Death of a susceptible

(−1,0,0)

μ S

Infection

(−1,1,0)

\(\frac {\beta S I}{N} + \xi S\)

Death of an infective

(0,−1,0)

μ I

Recovery of an infective

(0,−1,1)

γ I

Death of a removed

(0,0,−1)

μ R