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Table 1 Summary of observed and predicted deaths with cohorts composed as in the validation papers and predictor variables distributed as observed in the TMA dataset

From: Development and validation of a Bayesian survival model for inclusion body myositis

Validation study N Study Duration (median) Observed deaths Predicted deaths
(base-case model)
Predicted deaths (saturated model)
Cox et al. [5] (overall) 64 12 72% [61%; 83%] 61% [57%; 66%] 76% [64%; 85%]
Benveniste et al. [4] 136 2.5 18% [12%; 25%] 14% [11%; 17%] 35% [27%; 43%]