Table 2 Estimated parameters and its 95% CI, time of outbreak, number of parameters, and AICa for each model assumption
From: Assessing countermeasures during a hepatitis A virus outbreak among men who have sex with men
Model assumption | R1b | ε1c | ε2d | Number of parameters | AIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Constant, 17 | 3.05 (2.63,3.47) | 0.60 (0.38,0.82) | 0.41 (0.30,0.52) | 5 | 566.0 |
Sine curve, 17 | 2.80 (2.32,3.29) | 0.72 (0.39,1.04) | 0.39 (0.27,0.52) | 7 | 554.6 |
Second-order trigonometric, 17 | 2.80 (2.32,3.29) | 0.72 (0.39,1.04) | 0.39 (0.27,0.52) | 9 | 558.6 |
Constant, 16-17 | 3.07 (2.66,3.49) | 0.59 (0.37,0.80) | 0.42 (0.30,0.53) | 5 | 832.8 |
Sine curve, 16-17 | 2.74 (2.24,3.24) | 0.76 (0.40,1.12) | 0.38 (0.26,0.51) | 7 | 797.8 |
Second-order trigonometric, 16-17 | 2.60 (2.07,3.13) | 0.87 (0.42,1.33) | 0.35 (0.23,0.47) | 9 | 798.3 |
Constant, 15-17 | 3.13 (2.71.3.53) | 0.57 (0.37,0.77) | 0.43 (0.32,0.54) | 5 | 1079,1 |
Sine curve, 15-17 | 2.82 (2.35,3.30) | 0.72 (0.40,1.03) | 0.39 (0.27,0.51) | 7 | 1040.4 |
Second-order trigonometric, 15-17 | 2.68 (2.18,3.19) | 0.82 (0.42,1.27) | 0.36 (0.24,0.47) | 9 | 1038.0 |