Table 2 Absolute value of the relative error(s), MSE and R2 for seven tested models with polio data.
Month | RE(H1) | RE(H2) | RE(W) | RE(H3) | RE(R) | RE(L) | RE(G) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
1 | 0.68 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.47 |
2 | 0.73 | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.61 | 1.19 |
3 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.99 | 1.41 | 2.31 |
4 | 0.21 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 1.54 | 2.17 | 3.11 |
5 | 0.18 | 0.66 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 1.35 | 1.93 | 2.45 |
6 | 0.12 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
7 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
8 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.19 |
9 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.13 |
10 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
11 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.12 |
MSE | 6.61 × 105 | 8.72 × 105 | 11.09 × 105 | 12.45 × 105 | 50.21 × 105 | 111.12 × 105 | 223.65 × 105 |
R 2 | 0.9983 | 0.9978 | 0.9969 | 0.9969 | 0.9864 | 0.9667 | 0.9336 |