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Table 3 The accuracy of the alternative prediction based on ARIMA(p,d,q) models for influenza in Japan from 2006 to 2015 (total 500 predictions)

From: Application of the backstepping method to the prediction of increase or decrease of infected population

(p,d,q) Number of correct Number of incorrect Accuracy
  predictions predictions  
(0,0,1) 224 276 0.45
(0,1,0) 244 256 0.49
(1,0,0) 156 344 0.31
(0,1,1) 382 118 0.76
(1,0,1) 152 348 0.30
(1,1,0) 393 107 0.79
(1,1,1) 355 145 0.71