Table 3 The accuracy of the alternative prediction based on ARIMA(p,d,q) models for influenza in Japan from 2006 to 2015 (total 500 predictions)
(p,d,q) | Number of correct | Number of incorrect | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Â | predictions | predictions | Â |
(0,0,1) | 224 | 276 | 0.45 |
(0,1,0) | 244 | 256 | 0.49 |
(1,0,0) | 156 | 344 | 0.31 |
(0,1,1) | 382 | 118 | 0.76 |
(1,0,1) | 152 | 348 | 0.30 |
(1,1,0) | 393 | 107 | 0.79 |
(1,1,1) | 355 | 145 | 0.71 |